The 30% solution — when war without end ends: Spengler

[Aptrgangr]

The 30% solution — when war without end ends: Spengler

During the Cold War, the assumption that nations are rational actors dominated foreign policy research, and with good reason: the United States and the Soviet Union pursued their rivalry by rational means. Mathematical simulation provided baseline scenarios for conflict management. Today, the emergence of militant Islam as a major (and perhaps the most important) strategic threat to the United States challenges the old assumption of rationality. Where this assumption prevails, as in the effort to bring Iran into the strategic architecture of Western Asia, it is deeply controversial. (...)

http://atimes.com/2016/03/the-30-solutio...er/#_edn21

[Artturi]

I remember reading this author many years ago and having been impressed with his insight. Great article, thanks for posting it.